Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 9.901117 11.076375 12.346064 13.821437 15.490853 17.323727 19.491904
2025-04-27 8.299890 9.893190 11.736451 14.033312 16.828217 20.130705 24.346265
2025-05-04 7.009236 8.836571 11.083127 14.063960 17.938786 22.836988 29.548224
2025-05-11 5.841210 7.745524 10.219216 13.695482 18.498605 24.964996 34.437595
2025-05-18 4.946782 6.870559 9.499572 13.396936 19.099358 27.248783 39.977206
2025-05-25 4.245602 6.153746 8.886670 13.145264 19.721397 29.667789 46.188978
2025-06-01 3.704146 5.585852 8.401388 12.999257 20.471408 32.402336 53.433129
2025-06-08 3.274339 5.123214 8.005068 12.923721 21.314391 35.425173 61.769035
2025-06-15 3.003098 4.869110 7.895202 13.287551 22.935611 40.017000 73.794085
2025-06-22 2.683535 4.492245 7.531953 13.164547 23.691147 43.231018 83.989582
2025-06-29 2.377775 4.098193 7.085547 12.824248 23.991362 45.656984 93.182711
2025-07-06 2.138464 3.789327 6.746612 12.627343 24.525854 48.623384 104.155772
2025-07-13 1.989370 3.629580 6.666119 12.930465 26.144980 54.174624 122.323317
2025-07-20 1.863590 3.497318 6.619859 13.296516 27.968916 60.545671 144.093572
2025-07-27 1.728169 3.329416 6.482376 13.454713 29.380807 66.311963 166.007623
2025-08-03 1.567203 3.091137 6.173230 13.199152 29.821294 69.929194 183.438008
2025-08-10 1.429316 2.883344 5.900558 12.983211 30.320149 73.806713 202.729329
2025-08-17 1.309576 2.699328 5.655128 12.792586 30.850144 77.889433 223.856964
2025-08-24 1.210052 2.546983 5.459581 12.690171 31.587569 82.691808 248.659187
2025-08-31 1.125248 2.417105 5.298040 12.646142 32.473284 88.110348 277.170322
2025-09-07 1.077045 2.363657 5.304634 13.024477 34.576160 97.499759 322.057963
2025-09-14 1.002625 2.241492 5.134632 12.921327 35.317337 103.030037 355.414862
2025-09-21 0.922751 2.097841 4.895919 12.600486 35.373250 106.473480 382.375288